Artículo Foreign Policy, 09.10.2015 Stephen M. Walt, profesor de RRII en la U. de HarvardPitting a former KGB agent against a former community organizer and seeing what happens in SyriaThat’s not quite the right question, of course, because both leaders depend to some degree on intelligence reports and advice from trusted advisors and not just their own...
Forecasting Japan (II): China Rises
Análisis Stratfor Global Intelligence, 29.09.2015Summary Since the end of the Cold War, the Pacific Rim has seen China rise and Japan stagnate. However, Japan is approaching an epochal shift that will enable it to challenge the current order. This analysis is the second in a four-part a series that forecasts the nature of that shift and the...
Why the U.S. Feels It Must Contain Russia
Análisis Stratfor Global Intelligence Eugene Chausovsky, ruso-norteamericano licenciado en RRII (U. de Texas)At the outset of the Cold War, in 1946, U.S. diplomat George F. Kennan sent what became popularly known as the "long telegram" from the embassy in Moscow outlining a policy of containment in dealing with the Soviet Union. The policy was made public in...
Pakistan’s Shocking Strategic Shift
Artículo National Interest, 05.08.2015 Sameer Lalwani, postdoctoral fellow en la RAND CorporationPakistan is often characterized as a belligerent, unyielding, and destabilizing force in international affairs. But despite longstanding and widespread negative perceptions, Pakistani behavior and strategic culture is changing for the better in important respects, as recently exemplified by anti-Taliban operations in the country’s North Waziristan region...
Las fases del Neocomunismo o Socialismo del siglo XXI
Artículo Periodismo Sin Fronteras (Col.), 21.04.2011 Viviana Padelin, peridista y analista política uruguayaLa delincuencia es esencial a la implantación del NeocomunismoMucha gente se pregunta ¿Cuál es el modelo? No se lo conoce… resulta que el ¿Frente? no tiene ningún modelo, que sea fruto de una planificación ordenada o de su imaginación, es una simple copia de la...
Debating the Morality of Hiroshima
Análisis Geopolitical Weekley, 11.08.2015 George Friedman, presidente de Stratfor Global IntelligenceEach year at this time — the anniversary of the bombing of Hiroshima — the world pauses. The pause is less to mourn the dead than to debate a moral question: whether the bombing was justified and, by extension, whether the United States unnecessarily slaughtered tens of...
Hiroshima, 70 Years Later: Did Truman Make the Right Call?
Artículo The National Interest, 06.08.2015 James Holmes, profesor de estrategia (Naval War College)Huddle up with Teddy Roosevelt, Clausewitz, and Wylie—and then you be the judge. Retrospectives on the atomic bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki conjure up Theodore Roosevelt for me. That goes double when the anniversary is a multiple of ten—as it is today, the seventieth anniversary of...
Towards a Rational U.S. Strategy (Part II)
Artículo Consortiumnews, 01.07.2015 William R. Polk, consultor en política exterior y profesor de HarvardThe ultimate madness of today’s U.S. foreign policy is Official Washington’s eager embrace of a new Cold War against Russia with the potential for nuclear annihilation. A rational strategy would seek alternatives to this return to big-power confrontation. In Part One, I dealt at length with America’s relationship with...
Towards a Rational U.S. Strategy (Part I)
Artículo Consortiumnews, 30.06.2015 William R. Polk, consejero en política exterior, escritor y profesor en HarvardCurrent U.S. foreign policy is driven by neoconservative ideologues and tough-talking “liberal interventionists” who spread chaos and death around the world while failing to serve real American interests. It’s time for a fundamental rethinking Judaism, Christianity and Islam have proclaimed that humankind faces the...
China’s Military Strategy
Artículo Voltaire Network, 26.05.2015Preface The world today is undergoing unprecedented changes, and China is at a critical stage of reform and development. In their endeavor to realize the Chinese Dream of great national rejuvenation, the Chinese people aspire to join hands with the rest of the world to maintain peace, pursue development and share prosperity. China’s destiny is...