Análisis Council on Foreign Relations, 13.10.2015 Scott Snyder, miembro senior de Koreas Studies y director del programa US-Korea PolicyRestricting a Nuclear North Korea North Korea's persistent, belligerent rhetoric and unchecked efforts to develop nuclear and missile capabilities will top the Obama-Park summit's agenda. The immediate challenge is how to disrupt a pattern of North Korean long-range missile and...
China’s Crisis: The Price of Change
Análisis Geopolitical Weekly, 18.08.2015 Rodger BakerLast week was an eventful one for China. First, the People's Bank of China shocked the financial world when it cut the yuan's reference rate against the U.S. dollar by nearly 2 percent, leading to a greater than 2 percent drop in the value of the yuan in offshore trading. The decline triggered a...
Forecasting Japan (IV): 25 Years Later
Análisis Stratfor Global Intelligence, 01.10.2015Summary Since the end of the Cold War, the Pacific Rim has seen China rise and Japan stagnate. However, Japan is approaching an epochal shift that will enable it to challenge the current orderIn the coming years, Japan will transition out of its slow-burning state of crisis as it seeks to make a radical break...
Forecasting Japan (III): The Failure of Reform
Análisis Stratfor Global Intelligence, 30.09.2015Summary Since the end of the Cold War, the Pacific Rim has seen China rise and Japan stagnate. However, Japan is approaching an epochal shift that will enable it to challenge the current orderAs the strategic situation in the Pacific changes, Japan will be forced to adapt. Tokyo will need to pull the...
Forecasting Japan (II): China Rises
Análisis Stratfor Global Intelligence, 29.09.2015Summary Since the end of the Cold War, the Pacific Rim has seen China rise and Japan stagnate. However, Japan is approaching an epochal shift that will enable it to challenge the current order. This analysis is the second in a four-part a series that forecasts the nature of that shift and the...
India en el siglo de Asia
Artículo Economía Exterior, Nº 73 (Verano 2015) Fernando DelageEl gobierno de Modi muestra una gran determinación con respecto a sus principales objetivos exteriores: maximizar los intercambios comerciales, financieros y tecnológicos con los Estados de su periferia; consolidar la nueva asociación con EE UU y reequilibrar la relación con ChinaLa realización del siglo de Asia –señaló el primer...
The Cautionary Tale of China’s Lin Biao
Análisis Stratfor Global Intelligence, 13.09.2015 Thomas Vien"The revolution is like Saturn, she devours her own children," says doomed French revolutionary Georges Danton in Georg Buchner's 1835 play Danton's Death. The Chinese revolution — and its aftershocks throughout the period of Mao Zedong's rule — was no exception. On Sept. 13, 1971, a Chinese Trident 1E airliner crashed in...
1945: Asia’s Powers Converge at Okinawa
Análisis Stratfor Global Intelligence, 06.09.2015On Sept. 7, 1945, Japanese forces in the Ryukyu Islands officially surrendered to the Americans on the island of Okinawa. U.S. forces spent more than 80 days between April and June 1945 taking the island. The battle ended with 300,000 military and civilian casualties, the death of U.S. Lt. Gen. Simon Bolivar...
Muslims Memories of West’s Imperialism
Informe especial Consortiumnews, 04.09.2015 William R. Polk, historiador, escritor y ex profesor sobre el Medio Oriente en HarvardAmerican politicians know little about history, so they lash out at people from formerly colonized Third World nations without understanding the scars that the West’s repression and brutality have left on these societies, especially in the Muslim worldOne result of...
Diplomacy and the South China Sea
Opinión The Diplomat, 17.08.2015 Scott Devary, licenciado en RRII y Diplomacia (Seton Hall University) y MBA en ciencia política (U. de Washington)Some diplomatic innovation may be the best chance to manage disputes and forestall conflictRecent months have brought shocking photos showing new manmade islands and a gargantuan industrial effort in the South China Sea being undertaken...