Análisis Geopolitical Weekly, 16.06.2015 George Friedman, presidente Stratfor Global IntelligenceWhen I began this series a month ago, I pointed out that the most significant feature of the global system currently is the ongoing destabilization of the Eurasian land mass, from the Atlantic to the Pacific, from the Arctic to the Arabian Sea. One important aspect of this...
The New Containment: Undermining Democracy
Ensayo World Affairs, mayo/junio 2015 Christopher Walker, director de estudios (Freedom House)Nearly seven decades ago, George F. Kennan authored a seminal article that argued for a policy of containment to combat the spread of Soviet influence. Kennan’s essay came at a time when the Soviet Union, a frenemy to the West during World War II, was becoming...
Accounting for Inertia in Geopolitical Forecasting
Análisis Geopolitical Weekly, 02.06.2015 Rodger Baker, vicepresidente Análisis Asia PacíficoGeopolitics, at least in the sense that we practice, is neither deterministic in its approach to understanding nations and their interactions nor simply synonymous with current events or international relations. At its most basic, geopolitics as a discipline seeks to explain the intersection between place and people, or...
Lethal Autonomous Weapons Systems: Future Challenges
Artículo Center for Security Studies (CSS): CSS Analyses on Security Policy - No 164, Noviembre 2014 Matthias Bieri y Marcel DickowThe challenge that armed drones pose for international law and arms control has only prevailed for a few years. However, experts are al- ready dealing with questions that will arise in the course of technical advances –...
Prelude to a Japanese Revival
Artículo Geopolitical Weekly, 28.04.2015 John Minnich analista político y económico (U. de Cornell)Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has arrived in Washington, the third stop on his maiden voyage to the United States since assuming office in 2012. Over the next two days, he will hold a summit with U.S. President Barack Obama on U.S.-Japanese defense and trade cooperation,...
Beyond the US Rebalance to Asia: A Regional Perspective
Columna The Diplomat, 29.04.2015 David LangA look at what US allies and partners are doing in the Asia-Pacific. The future of America’s rebalance to the Asia–Pacific continues to be a topic of much discussion and speculation. There’s no doubt that the rebalance has steadily continued over the past few years—albeit with less fanfare than many thought would be...
No, China´s Not About to Collapse
Opinión The Diplomat, 13.03.2015 Timothy Heath, analista internacional y defensaThe CCP’s liabilities are well known. These include an antiquated political identity, cumbersome ideology, and widespread disenchantment with Marxism among the public (and among more than a few party members). CCP-led government has failed to provide adequate services, ensure rule of law, and has long tolerated corruption, malfeasance,...