Artículo The Diplomat, 25.06.2015 Morgan Potts, editor del British Association for Korean StudiesA reluctant but pragmatic defense of neorealism in Northeast Asia. Nuclear crises, propaganda and espionage, a clash of ideologies – the Korean peninsula is the only place in the world where the Cold War lingers. This persistence is the result of the 1953 Armistice Agreement and...
Who Lost Iraq?
Entrevista a funcionarios y académicos estadounidenses Politico Magazine, julio/agosto 2015 Michael CrowleyDid George W. Bush create the Islamic State? Did Barack Obama? We asked the insiders to tell us who’s to blame. For a brief, happy—and misguided—moment, most Americans stopped thinking about Iraq. After withdrawing the last U.S. troops in 2011, President Barack Obama declared the country “sovereign,...
Imperial Ambitions: Russia’s Military Buildup
Ensayo World Affairs, junio 2015 Stephen Blank, miembro de American Foreign Policy CouncilIn September 2014, Russian President Vladimir Putin boasted that he could, at will, occupy any Eastern European capital in two days. This apparently spontaneous utterance reveals, probably more than Russia’s new official defense doctrine, Moscow’s true assessment of NATO’s capabilities, cohesion, and will to resist....
A Net Assessment of East Asia
Análisis Geopolitical Weekly, 16.06.2015 George Friedman, presidente Stratfor Global IntelligenceWhen I began this series a month ago, I pointed out that the most significant feature of the global system currently is the ongoing destabilization of the Eurasian land mass, from the Atlantic to the Pacific, from the Arctic to the Arabian Sea. One important aspect of this...
A Net Assessment on the Middle East
Análisis Geopolitical Weekly, 09.06.2015 George Friedman, fundador y presidente Stratfor Global IntelligenceThe term "Middle East" has become enormously elastic. The name originated with the British Foreign Office in the 19th century. The British divided the region into the Near East, the area closest to the United Kingdom and most of North Africa; the Far East, which was...
The New Containment: Undermining Democracy
Ensayo World Affairs, mayo/junio 2015 Christopher Walker, director de estudios (Freedom House)Nearly seven decades ago, George F. Kennan authored a seminal article that argued for a policy of containment to combat the spread of Soviet influence. Kennan’s essay came at a time when the Soviet Union, a frenemy to the West during World War II, was becoming...
Lethal Autonomous Systems and the Plight of the Non-combatant
Artículo Georgia Institute of Technology Ronald ArkinIt seems a safe assumption, unfortunately, that humanity will persist in conducting warfare, as evidenced over all recorded history. New technology has historically made killing more efficient, for example with the invention of the longbow, artillery, armored vehicles, aircraft carriers, or nuclear weapons. Many view that each of these new technologies...
Coming to Terms with the American Empire
Opinion Geopolitical Weekly, 14.04.2015 George Friedman, founder and President Stratfor Global Intelligence"Empire" is a dirty word. Considering the behavior of many empires, that is not unreasonable. But empire is also simply a description of a condition, many times unplanned and rarely intended. It is a condition that arises from a massive imbalance of power. Indeed, the empires...
Sure, TPP Is ‘Win-Win’… Unless You Care About Human Rights
Reportaje The Diplomat, 11.05.2015 John Sifton, director de Human Rights Watch en AsiaThe Trans-Pacific Partnership won’t do much to improve the human rights situation in Asia. To hear the Obama Administration tell it, the Trans-Pacific Partnership, or TPP, is a win-win and cure-all. It will create jobs in the U.S., improve labor and environmental protections, improve business transparency...
World War II and the Origins of American Unease
Análisis Geopolitical Weekly, 12.05.2015 George Friedman, fundador y presidente de Stratfor Global IntelligenceWe are at the 70th anniversary of the end of World War II in Europe. That victory did not usher in an era of universal peace. Rather, it introduced a new constellation of powers and a complex balance among them. Europe's great powers and empires...