Opinión Information Clearing House, 21.07.2015 Patrick J. Buchanan, escritor y columnista conservador norteamericanoAs President Obama’s nuclear deal with Iran is compared to Richard Nixon’s opening to China, Bibi Netanyahu must know how Chiang Kai-shek felt as he watched his old friend Nixon toasting Mao in Peking. The Iran nuclear deal is not on the same geostrategic level. Yet...
La geopolítica de tres ‘zonas calientes’ en el mundo
Juan Salazar Sparks[1]
Cualquier análisis sobre la actual situación internacional debería reconocer que hay tres grandes "zonas calientes" en el mundo, donde los intereses en juego están desembocando en peligrosos conflictos armados: Ucrania, el Mar de China meridional, y el Medio Oriente.En los primeros dos casos arriba mencionados, advertimos que se trata de pugnas...
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Towards a Rational U.S. Strategy (Part II)
Artículo Consortiumnews, 01.07.2015 William R. Polk, consultor en política exterior y profesor de HarvardThe ultimate madness of today’s U.S. foreign policy is Official Washington’s eager embrace of a new Cold War against Russia with the potential for nuclear annihilation. A rational strategy would seek alternatives to this return to big-power confrontation. In Part One, I dealt at length with America’s relationship with...
Towards a Rational U.S. Strategy (Part I)
Artículo Consortiumnews, 30.06.2015 William R. Polk, consejero en política exterior, escritor y profesor en HarvardCurrent U.S. foreign policy is driven by neoconservative ideologues and tough-talking “liberal interventionists” who spread chaos and death around the world while failing to serve real American interests. It’s time for a fundamental rethinking Judaism, Christianity and Islam have proclaimed that humankind faces the...
The Koreas, Bastion of Cold War Realism
Artículo The Diplomat, 25.06.2015 Morgan Potts, editor del British Association for Korean StudiesA reluctant but pragmatic defense of neorealism in Northeast Asia. Nuclear crises, propaganda and espionage, a clash of ideologies – the Korean peninsula is the only place in the world where the Cold War lingers. This persistence is the result of the 1953 Armistice Agreement and...
Imperial Ambitions: Russia’s Military Buildup
Ensayo World Affairs, junio 2015 Stephen Blank, miembro de American Foreign Policy CouncilIn September 2014, Russian President Vladimir Putin boasted that he could, at will, occupy any Eastern European capital in two days. This apparently spontaneous utterance reveals, probably more than Russia’s new official defense doctrine, Moscow’s true assessment of NATO’s capabilities, cohesion, and will to resist....
A Net Assessment of East Asia
Análisis Geopolitical Weekly, 16.06.2015 George Friedman, presidente Stratfor Global IntelligenceWhen I began this series a month ago, I pointed out that the most significant feature of the global system currently is the ongoing destabilization of the Eurasian land mass, from the Atlantic to the Pacific, from the Arctic to the Arabian Sea. One important aspect of this...
Accounting for Inertia in Geopolitical Forecasting
Análisis Geopolitical Weekly, 02.06.2015 Rodger Baker, vicepresidente Análisis Asia PacíficoGeopolitics, at least in the sense that we practice, is neither deterministic in its approach to understanding nations and their interactions nor simply synonymous with current events or international relations. At its most basic, geopolitics as a discipline seeks to explain the intersection between place and people, or...
Coming to Terms with the American Empire
Opinion Geopolitical Weekly, 14.04.2015 George Friedman, founder and President Stratfor Global Intelligence"Empire" is a dirty word. Considering the behavior of many empires, that is not unreasonable. But empire is also simply a description of a condition, many times unplanned and rarely intended. It is a condition that arises from a massive imbalance of power. Indeed, the empires...
The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (I – 2)
Analysis Stratfor Global Intelligence Part I, 28.04.2013 Part II, 30.10.2013The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, Part 1: An Unconventional Military Editor's Note: In light of the April 28 boarding of a Maersk Line ship in the Strait of Hormuz by Iranian naval forces belonging to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, Stratfor is republishing its detailed October 2012 report on the elite...