Editorial El Mercurio, 09.02.1026Con la reciente firma de los cancilleres de la Cuenca del Pacífico se inicia la etapa decisiva -la discusión legislativa- del Tratado de Asociación Transpacífico (TPP en inglés). Se trata del convenio de liberalización comercial y financiera más relevante de la historia, con significativas implicancias para Chile y la economía mundial. El intercambio de...
Framing China’s Future (III): Imagining a Democratic China
Análisis Stratfor Global Intelligence, 02.12.2015Summary China's Communist Party is locked in a struggle for political legitimacy. For most of the past three decades, economic growth has buoyed the party and underwritten its promises of full employment and ever-improving material conditions for the majority of Chinese. But that growth is slowing. As the country's export- and investment-led growth model...
Framing China’s Future (IV): The High Stakes of Having a Job in China
Análisis Stratfor Global Intelligence, 08.01.2016Summary Understanding employment is fundamental to understanding how contemporary China works. The need to maintain near-universal employment — or at least the appearance of it — forms the bedrock of Chinese political economy. It structures the financial system, long-term industrial policy, the incentive structure for bureaucrats and everything in between. Strikingly, post-Mao Chinese policy...
Framing China’s Fuure (V): What Kind of Power Will China Become?
Análisis Stratfor Global Intelligence, 03.02.2016Summary These are grim times for the Chinese economy. In the two years since property markets peaked and subsequently began to slow in most cities across China, it has become abundantly clear that the approach to economic management that sustained double-digit annual growth for two decades has exhausted itself. The unprecedented stock market volatility of...
Bienvenidos al fin de una era: el error crítico que ha cometido EEUU
Opinión El Confidencial, 26.01.2016 Marcos Díaz, experto en diplomacia, relaciones internacionales y política exterior
- EEUU ya no tiene la capacidad de gobernar el mundo en solitario sin atender las condiciones exigidas por el resto de las potencias. Simple y llanamente, el modelo estratégico se ha derrumbado
Un convulsionado mundo multipolar
Columna El Líbero, 23.01.2016 Juan Salazar Sparks, cientista político, embajador (r) y director ejecutivo de CEPERISon muchos los conflictos internacionales que se arrastran y otros que se manifestarán en el curso del 2016, poniendo en riesgo la paz y seguridad internacionales. Tal vez el más complejo concierne a una aparente guerra civil islámica (suníes vs. chiíes), con...
How China Sees Russia: Beijing and Moscow Are Close, but Not Allies
Artículo Foreign Affairs, Vol.95 (1) enero/febrero 201 Fu Ying, presidente de la Comisión de RREE del Congreso Popular del PCCHAt a time when Russian relations with the United States and western European countries are growing cold, the relatively warm ties between China and Russia have attracted renewed interest. Scholars and journalists in the West find themselves debating...
Did Hiroshima Save Japan From Soviet Occupation?
Artículo Foreign Policy, 05.09.2015 Sergey Radchenko, profesor de política internacional (U. de Aberystwyth)
- Stalin had planned to seize a major Japanese island. When Truman refused, Stalin blinked. Why?
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In the wee hours of Aug. 24, 1945, Soviet long-range bombers would take off from their air... Perils of Cornering Russia
Reseña de libros: -“Why the Ukraine Crisis is the West’s Fault” John Mearsheimer (Foreign Affairs Sep/Oct 2014) -"Faulty Powers" Michael McFaul, Stephen Sestanovich, y John Mearsheimer (Foreign Affairs Nov/Dec 2014) American Review, (junio 2015) Susan Eisenhower
- The debate over the Russia–Ukraine crisis has its genesis in the arguments over NATO expansion in the 1990s
Turnbull y Key: El ‘dream team’ político de la Trans-Tasmania?
Editorial OpiniónGlobal, 12.12.2015Recomendamos a nuestros lectores detenerse a ver, en el número 16 de OG-Review (Noviembre), un interesante artículo sobre el liderazgo político en Australia escrito por Juan Francisco Salazar, antropólogo chileno residente en ese país. Su punto de vista es que, tras una larga alternancia entre los partidos laborista y liberal en el gobierno de ese...