Análisis Geopolitical Weekly, 16.06.2015 George Friedman, presidente Stratfor Global IntelligenceWhen I began this series a month ago, I pointed out that the most significant feature of the global system currently is the ongoing destabilization of the Eurasian land mass, from the Atlantic to the Pacific, from the Arctic to the Arabian Sea. One important aspect of this...
A Net Assessment on the Middle East
Análisis Geopolitical Weekly, 09.06.2015 George Friedman, fundador y presidente Stratfor Global IntelligenceThe term "Middle East" has become enormously elastic. The name originated with the British Foreign Office in the 19th century. The British divided the region into the Near East, the area closest to the United Kingdom and most of North Africa; the Far East, which was...
The New Containment: Undermining Democracy
Ensayo World Affairs, mayo/junio 2015 Christopher Walker, director de estudios (Freedom House)Nearly seven decades ago, George F. Kennan authored a seminal article that argued for a policy of containment to combat the spread of Soviet influence. Kennan’s essay came at a time when the Soviet Union, a frenemy to the West during World War II, was becoming...
Lethal Autonomous Systems and the Plight of the Non-combatant
Artículo Georgia Institute of Technology Ronald ArkinIt seems a safe assumption, unfortunately, that humanity will persist in conducting warfare, as evidenced over all recorded history. New technology has historically made killing more efficient, for example with the invention of the longbow, artillery, armored vehicles, aircraft carriers, or nuclear weapons. Many view that each of these new technologies...
Coming to Terms with the American Empire
Opinion Geopolitical Weekly, 14.04.2015 George Friedman, founder and President Stratfor Global Intelligence"Empire" is a dirty word. Considering the behavior of many empires, that is not unreasonable. But empire is also simply a description of a condition, many times unplanned and rarely intended. It is a condition that arises from a massive imbalance of power. Indeed, the empires...
Sure, TPP Is ‘Win-Win’… Unless You Care About Human Rights
Reportaje The Diplomat, 11.05.2015 John Sifton, director de Human Rights Watch en AsiaThe Trans-Pacific Partnership won’t do much to improve the human rights situation in Asia. To hear the Obama Administration tell it, the Trans-Pacific Partnership, or TPP, is a win-win and cure-all. It will create jobs in the U.S., improve labor and environmental protections, improve business transparency...
World War II and the Origins of American Unease
Análisis Geopolitical Weekly, 12.05.2015 George Friedman, fundador y presidente de Stratfor Global IntelligenceWe are at the 70th anniversary of the end of World War II in Europe. That victory did not usher in an era of universal peace. Rather, it introduced a new constellation of powers and a complex balance among them. Europe's great powers and empires...
Qué piensa Hillary Clinton
Artículo MgMagazine, 03.05.2015 Jordi JarqueHillary Clinton anunció el pasado 12 de abril su candidatura por el partido demócrata a la presidencia de Estados Unidos tras un par de años de aparente inactividad política. Esta es una aproximación a su manera de pensar y sentir el mundo a través de frases que, a modo de abecedario, ha pronunciado...
Prelude to a Japanese Revival
Artículo Geopolitical Weekly, 28.04.2015 John Minnich analista político y económico (U. de Cornell)Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has arrived in Washington, the third stop on his maiden voyage to the United States since assuming office in 2012. Over the next two days, he will hold a summit with U.S. President Barack Obama on U.S.-Japanese defense and trade cooperation,...
Weighing the Geopolitics of the Vietnam War
Análisis Stratfor Global Intelligence, 03.05.2015Summary South Vietnam's capital city, Saigon, fell to invading North Vietnamese troops on April 30, 1975. The image of an overloaded Huey helicopter on top of the U.S. Embassy in Saigon, frantically loading refugees, was forever seared into the American mind. It was the ignominious end of more than a decade of involvement by the...
