Reportaje El Confidencial, 28.06.2015 Daniel Iriarte, corresponsal en EstambulEl Estado Islámico cumple un año mañana, tiempo suficiente para entender cuáles son sus objetivos, cuáles sus puntos débiles y para preparar una estrategia de choque Fanáticos. Genios de la propaganda. Terroristas peligrosos. Administradores eficientes. Asesinos crueles. Insurgentes de probada capacidad militar. El Estado Islámico es un fenómeno con tantas dimensiones que...
Russia’s Role in Iran: Another Dimension of the Pivot to the East
Artículo European Energy Review, 24.06.2015 Irina MironovaRussia is experiencing series of problems in its relations with the West; political contradictions, economic troubles exacerbated by the sanctions; diminishing demand for Russia’s energy recourse supplies in traditional markets are among reasons which justified Russia’s ‘pivot to Asia’. In this context, we are often discussing the role of growing economies...
Who Lost Iraq?
Entrevista a funcionarios y académicos estadounidenses Politico Magazine, julio/agosto 2015 Michael CrowleyDid George W. Bush create the Islamic State? Did Barack Obama? We asked the insiders to tell us who’s to blame. For a brief, happy—and misguided—moment, most Americans stopped thinking about Iraq. After withdrawing the last U.S. troops in 2011, President Barack Obama declared the country “sovereign,...
The Jihadist Trap of Here and Now
Opinión Security Weekly, 25.06.2015 Scott StewartIn recent weeks, I have found myself spending a lot of time thinking about the jihadist strategy of al Qaeda and how it compares to that of the Islamic State. Earlier this month, I wrote about the possibility that the al Qaeda brand of jihadism could outlast that of the Islamic State. Last...
A Net Assessment on the Middle East
Análisis Geopolitical Weekly, 09.06.2015 George Friedman, fundador y presidente Stratfor Global IntelligenceThe term "Middle East" has become enormously elastic. The name originated with the British Foreign Office in the 19th century. The British divided the region into the Near East, the area closest to the United Kingdom and most of North Africa; the Far East, which was...
ISIS and the Shia Revival in Iraq
Artículo The New York Review of Books, 04.06.2015 Nicolas Pelham“We’re ridding the world of polytheism, and spreading monotheism across the planet,” an ISIS preacher recently said in a video recording. Behind him one could see the ISIS faithful using sledgehammers, bulldozers, and explosives to destroy the eighth-century-BC citadel of the Assyrian king Sargon II at Khorsabad, ten...
Would New Borders Mean Less Conflicts in the Middle East?
Artículo The Wall Street Journal, 11.04.2015 Yaroslav Trofimov, periodista ucranianoThe region is living with the combustible legacy of states artificially carved from the remains of the Ottoman Empire. Shortly after the end of World War I, the French and British prime ministers took a break from the hard business of redrawing the map of Europe to...
Vivir en el Califato (I y II)
Informe francés Adnmundo, Parte I (26.02.2015) - Parte II (04.03.2015)(Parte I) Histórico El prócer del estado islámico fue un yihadista jordano, Abu Musab al Zarqaui, que había combatido en Afganistán e intentado derrocar el rey de Jordania. En 1999, creo un grupo armado el Yama'at al-Tawhid wal-Yihad (‘Comunidad del Monoteísmo y la Yihad). Después de la invasión americana en...
Una guerra posimperial
Columna El País, 17.03.2015 Miguel Ángel Bastenier, periodista e historiadorSiete fuerzas se alinean en un entramado donde la noción de amigo y enemigo es irreconocible La guerra de Siria-Irak es el conflicto ejemplar de nuestro tiempo; el que sigue a la difuminación del poder de dos grandes imperios, EE UU y la URSS, que, aunque no sin sobresaltos,...