Editorial Le Monde, 04.01.2016Comme les somnambules de 1914, l’Arabie saoudite et l’Iran semblent avancer inexorablement vers l’abîme de la guerre. Chaque action de l’un appelle une réaction de l’autre, et nul n’envisage, pour le moment, de ne pas avoirle dernier mot dans l’escalade en cours. Ce qui se passe n’est que la suite logique de la montée des tensions...
Russia and the West (I): On the Origins of a Conflict
Análisis Stratfor Global Intelligence, 28.12.2015 Analista principal: Eugene ChausovskySummary
- This is the first installment of a five-part series that explores the past, present and future of the confrontation between Russia and the West on the Eurasian landmass.
Russia and the West (II): Ukraine Caught Between East and West
Análisis Stratfor Global Intelligence, 29.12.2015 Analista principal: Eugene ChausovskySummary Russia's desire for influence in Ukraine is as old as the Russian state itself. It has fought for centuries to protect its stake in the Eastern European nation from the encroachment of the West, often turning to natural gas cutoffs or outright military intervention to do so. Since the end...
Perils of Cornering Russia
Reseña de libros: -“Why the Ukraine Crisis is the West’s Fault” John Mearsheimer (Foreign Affairs Sep/Oct 2014) -"Faulty Powers" Michael McFaul, Stephen Sestanovich, y John Mearsheimer (Foreign Affairs Nov/Dec 2014) American Review, (junio 2015) Susan Eisenhower
- The debate over the Russia–Ukraine crisis has its genesis in the arguments over NATO expansion in the 1990s
A Path Out of the Middle East Collapse
Opinión The Wall Street Journal, 17.10.2015 Henry A. Kissinger, ex consejero nacional de seguridad y ex secretario de estadoThe debate about whether the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action with Iran regarding its nuclear program stabilized the Middle East’s strategic framework had barely begun when the region’s geopolitical framework collapsed. Russia’s unilateral military action in Syria is the...
The New Latin America
Análisis Geopolitical Weekly, 03.11.2015 Reggie Thompson, MBA en RRII (U. de Texas A&M)Several years into a Chinese economic slowdown, the Latin American economies that relied on China to buy up their key exports are feeling the pain. With less hard currency coming in, governments across the region are rapidly readjusting their spending plans and preparing to govern...
‘Gallito’ entre China y Estados Unidos
Editorial El Mercurio, 02.11.2015La proyección de EE.UU. al Asia Pacífico, y su intención de marcar presencia en esa región, causa tensiones con China, que advirtió del peligro de crear un conflicto entre ambos. Su política de "giro al Asia" y el Acuerdo Transpacífico de Cooperación Económica (TPP) alarman a Beijing, que no quiere a Washington demasiado...
Ukraine and Europe: What Shoud be Done?
Artículo New York Review of Books, Vol.62 (15) 08.10.2015 George SorosBecause of the structural defects of the euro, the European authorities have had to become masters of the art of muddling through one crisis after another. This practice is popularly known as kicking the can down the road although it would be more accurate to describe it...
Five Options for the U.S. in Syria
Blog Rand Corporation, 21.10.2015 Brian Michael Jenkins, consejero del presidente de la RAND Corporation
- Syrian President al-Assad made a surprise visit to Moscow on October 20, 2015, to thank Russian President Putin for launching air strikes against Islamist militants in Syria
After Two Centuries, China and the U.K. Switch Roles
Análisis Geopolitical Diary, 21.10.2015Tuesday saw the start of Chinese President Xi Jinping's four-day visit to the United Kingdom. Xi and his wife were greeted at London's Mandarin Hotel by British heir Prince Charles and his wife, Lady Camilla, before meeting Queen Elizabeth II and the Duke of Edinburgh and receiving a royal salute from the 1st...