Artículo Consortiumnews, 01.07.2015 William R. Polk, consultor en política exterior y profesor de HarvardThe ultimate madness of today’s U.S. foreign policy is Official Washington’s eager embrace of a new Cold War against Russia with the potential for nuclear annihilation. A rational strategy would seek alternatives to this return to big-power confrontation. In Part One, I dealt at length with America’s relationship with...
Russia’s Role in Iran: Another Dimension of the Pivot to the East
Artículo European Energy Review, 24.06.2015 Irina MironovaRussia is experiencing series of problems in its relations with the West; political contradictions, economic troubles exacerbated by the sanctions; diminishing demand for Russia’s energy recourse supplies in traditional markets are among reasons which justified Russia’s ‘pivot to Asia’. In this context, we are often discussing the role of growing economies...
América Latina debería mirar más a la India
Columna La Nación, 23.06.2015 Andrés OppenheimerHay un fenómeno poco observado en la economía mundial que ayuda a explicar por qué el magnate mexicano Carlos Slim -uno de los hombres más ricos del mundo- habría hecho una poco difundida visita a la India el mes pasado: por primera vez en la historia reciente, la India crecerá más que...
China’s Military Strategy
Artículo Voltaire Network, 26.05.2015Preface The world today is undergoing unprecedented changes, and China is at a critical stage of reform and development. In their endeavor to realize the Chinese Dream of great national rejuvenation, the Chinese people aspire to join hands with the rest of the world to maintain peace, pursue development and share prosperity. China’s destiny is...
A Net Assessment of East Asia
Análisis Geopolitical Weekly, 16.06.2015 George Friedman, presidente Stratfor Global IntelligenceWhen I began this series a month ago, I pointed out that the most significant feature of the global system currently is the ongoing destabilization of the Eurasian land mass, from the Atlantic to the Pacific, from the Arctic to the Arabian Sea. One important aspect of this...
The New Containment: Undermining Democracy
Ensayo World Affairs, mayo/junio 2015 Christopher Walker, director de estudios (Freedom House)Nearly seven decades ago, George F. Kennan authored a seminal article that argued for a policy of containment to combat the spread of Soviet influence. Kennan’s essay came at a time when the Soviet Union, a frenemy to the West during World War II, was becoming...
Accounting for Inertia in Geopolitical Forecasting
Análisis Geopolitical Weekly, 02.06.2015 Rodger Baker, vicepresidente Análisis Asia PacíficoGeopolitics, at least in the sense that we practice, is neither deterministic in its approach to understanding nations and their interactions nor simply synonymous with current events or international relations. At its most basic, geopolitics as a discipline seeks to explain the intersection between place and people, or...
Lethal Autonomous Weapons Systems: Future Challenges
Artículo Center for Security Studies (CSS): CSS Analyses on Security Policy - No 164, Noviembre 2014 Matthias Bieri y Marcel DickowThe challenge that armed drones pose for international law and arms control has only prevailed for a few years. However, experts are al- ready dealing with questions that will arise in the course of technical advances –...
Prelude to a Japanese Revival
Artículo Geopolitical Weekly, 28.04.2015 John Minnich analista político y económico (U. de Cornell)Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has arrived in Washington, the third stop on his maiden voyage to the United States since assuming office in 2012. Over the next two days, he will hold a summit with U.S. President Barack Obama on U.S.-Japanese defense and trade cooperation,...
Beyond the US Rebalance to Asia: A Regional Perspective
Columna The Diplomat, 29.04.2015 David LangA look at what US allies and partners are doing in the Asia-Pacific. The future of America’s rebalance to the Asia–Pacific continues to be a topic of much discussion and speculation. There’s no doubt that the rebalance has steadily continued over the past few years—albeit with less fanfare than many thought would be...