Análisis Stratfor Global Intelligence, 14.02.2016
The Beginning of the End of the British Empire
Isis Faces Likely Defeat in Battles Across Iraq and Syria – But What Happens Next?
Reportaje The Independent, 02.06.2016 Patrick O. Cockburn, periodista irlandés desacado en el Medio OrienteIsis is under attack in and around the last three big cities it holds in Iraq and Syria – Fallujah, Mosul and Raqqa. It is likely to lose these battles because its lightly armed if fanatical infantry, fighting from fixed positions, cannot withstand air...
Estados que promueven o encubren el terrorismo internacional
Columna OpinionGlobal.cl, 02.06.2016 Juan Salazar Sparks, cientista político, embajador (r) y director ejecutivo de CEPERICuando hablamos de terrorismo internacional, usualmente nos referimos a grupos armados específicos, que persiguen sus fines políticos mediante el uso del terror, llámense al Qaeda, Boko Haram, ELN, FARC, Hamas, Hizbulá, ISIS, PKK o Talibán. Pero también existen, en una zona mucho más...
North Korea (4): How North Korea Would Retaliate
Análisis Stratfor Global Intelligence, 26.05.2016
Summary
North Korea is powerless to prevent a U.S. strike on its nuclear program, but retaliation is well within its means. The significant military capability that North Korea has built up against South Korea is not advanced by Western standards, but there are practical...North Korea (5): The Cost of Intervention
Análisis Stratfor Global Intelligence, 27.05.2016
Summary
What North Korea lacks in sophistication it makes up for in guile. Its answer to any attack would go beyond conventional means to include its experienced commando force, cyberwarfare capability and submarine force, at the very least. Though North Korea has chemical weapons,...La guerra de Vietnam nunca acabó: el “ejército perdido de la CIA”
Reportaje El Confidencial, 11.05.2016 Ángel Martínez
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El conflicto nunca acabó. Al menos para 170 personas que siguen luchando en las montañas de Laos. Cercados por las fuerzas laosianas, son los restos de un 'ejército' creado por la CIA
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Bulgaria and Romania: Caught Between Crises
Análisis Stratfor Global Intelligence, 09.05.2016
Forecast
Romania and Bulgaria will contend with and become increasingly involved in Europe's refugee crisis and the standoff with Russia over Ukraine. In the refugee crisis, both countries' efforts to enter the Schengen area will be hampered by EU states' measures to limit movement between countries. As the Russia-West standoff develops, Romania and Bulgaria will...Golan Heights: The Pinnacle of Syrian Nation-Building
Análisis Stratfor Global Intelligence, 08.05.2016 Toba Hellerstein, analista israelí con MA en seguridad internacional (Sciences Po)After years of bloody conflict, Syria's quest for peace is sure to be neither quick nor smooth. At some point, the government will have to begin rebuilding the country from the shambles that protracted civil war have left. But forging a bond between ruling officials...
Mozambique’s Invisible Civil War
Artículo Foreign Policy, 06.05.2016 Tom Bowker, Simon Kamm y Aurelio Sambo
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The government says everything’s fine. But that’s not what we heard from its victims.
On April 28, local and Portuguese news outlets reported the discovery of a mass grave in central Mozambique containing some 120 bodies. A hasty inspection by local... ¿Es Pakistán el país más peligroso del mundo?
Artículo Expansión, 04.05.2016 Emilio Sánchez de Rojas DíazSi se observa un mapa de los conflictos del mundo durante el año 2015, donde se encuentren representados los atentados terroristas y de la actividad de la insurgencia, se puede observar que se produce una concentración en la zona de Afganistán-Pakistán, solo superada por la de Siria-Iraq. La tendencia natural...