Análisis Geopolitical Weekley, 08.09.2015 Mark Fleming-Williams, analista financiero y MBA de la U. de LeedsAt some point in the next two years, British voters will decide whether to remain a part of the European Union. This will be the first time Britons have been consulted on the subject since 1975, when 67 percent voted to stay in....
A More Assertive German Foreign Policy
Análisis Geopolitical Weekley, 04.02.2014 George Friedman y Marc LanthemannThe Ukrainian crisis is important in itself, but the behavior it has elicited from Germany is perhaps more important. Berlin directly challenged Ukraine's elected president for refusing to tighten relations with the European Union and for mistreating Ukrainians who protested his decision. In challenging President Viktor Yanukovich, Berlin also...
Why the U.S. Feels It Must Contain Russia
Análisis Stratfor Global Intelligence Eugene Chausovsky, ruso-norteamericano licenciado en RRII (U. de Texas)At the outset of the Cold War, in 1946, U.S. diplomat George F. Kennan sent what became popularly known as the "long telegram" from the embassy in Moscow outlining a policy of containment in dealing with the Soviet Union. The policy was made public in...
Diplomacy and the South China Sea
Opinión The Diplomat, 17.08.2015 Scott Devary, licenciado en RRII y Diplomacia (Seton Hall University) y MBA en ciencia política (U. de Washington)Some diplomatic innovation may be the best chance to manage disputes and forestall conflictRecent months have brought shocking photos showing new manmade islands and a gargantuan industrial effort in the South China Sea being undertaken...
Yemen in Meltdown: Domestic and Regional Competitions and the Destruction of Nationhood
Artículo IDSA (Special Feature), 12.08.2015 Talmiz Ahmad, embajador (r) indioIn the third week of July 2015, the port, airport and presidential palace in Aden, the historic city at the mouth of the Red Sea, fell into the hands of forces representing the ousted Yemeni president, Abd Rabbo Mansour Hadi, marking the first success in the counter-assault mounted...
Las relaciones militares Chile-Bolivia-Perú: Claves para la resolución de conflictos
Extracto de ponencia XII Congreso Nacional de Ciencia Política (Mendoza), 12-15.08.2015 Daniela Cervantes, Renata Santander y Francisca Gallardo, cientistas políticas de la UDPIntroducción. La relación que Chile ha tenido con sus países vecinos, específicamente con Perú y Bolivia, ha sido históricamente conflictiva a partir de la Guerra del Pacífico. Una larga tradición de conflictos que no han podido...
Pakistan’s Shocking Strategic Shift
Artículo National Interest, 05.08.2015 Sameer Lalwani, postdoctoral fellow en la RAND CorporationPakistan is often characterized as a belligerent, unyielding, and destabilizing force in international affairs. But despite longstanding and widespread negative perceptions, Pakistani behavior and strategic culture is changing for the better in important respects, as recently exemplified by anti-Taliban operations in the country’s North Waziristan region...
Ucrania en la geopolítica rusa
Editorial El Mercurio , 03.08.2015Siguen los enfrentamientos en Ucrania entre las fuerzas gubernamentales y los rebeldes prorrusos, mientras Estados Unidos amplió la lista de personas e instituciones rusas sancionadas por el gobierno. Washington pretende mantener la presión sobre Moscú para que retire el apoyo a los rebeldes ucranianos. Rusia usó su veto en el Consejo de Seguridad...
Desert Storm, the Last Classic War
Ensayo Council on Foreign Relations, 31.07.2015 Richard N. Haass, presidente de Council on Foreign RelationsTwenty-five years after Iraq’s invasion of Kuwait, the lessons of the Gulf War remain urgent, even in today’s chaotic Middle EastIt was mid-July 1990, and for several days the U.S. intelligence community had been watching Saddam Hussein mass his forces along Iraq’s border...
Quantum Geopolitics
Análisis Stratfor, 28.07.2015 Reva Bhalla, experta en relaciones internacionalesForecasting the shape the world will take in several years or decades is an audacious undertaking. There are no images to observe or precise data points to anchor us. We can only create a picture, and a fuzzy one at best. This is, after all, our basic human empirical...