Opinión El Líbero, 07.09.2015 Mauricio Rojas, economista, profesor de historia económica (U. de Lund) y senior fellow de la FPPHoy estamos contemplando el fin del así llamado “súper ciclo exportador de bienes primarios” y pronto nos veremos obligados a examinar críticamente el uso que hemos hecho de los recursos de los tiempos de bonanzaChile está atravesando un...
China’s Crisis: The Price of Change
Análisis Geopolitical Weekly, 18.08.2015 Rodger BakerLast week was an eventful one for China. First, the People's Bank of China shocked the financial world when it cut the yuan's reference rate against the U.S. dollar by nearly 2 percent, leading to a greater than 2 percent drop in the value of the yuan in offshore trading. The decline triggered a...
Forecasting Japan (IV): 25 Years Later
Análisis Stratfor Global Intelligence, 01.10.2015Summary Since the end of the Cold War, the Pacific Rim has seen China rise and Japan stagnate. However, Japan is approaching an epochal shift that will enable it to challenge the current orderIn the coming years, Japan will transition out of its slow-burning state of crisis as it seeks to make a radical break...
Forecasting Japan (III): The Failure of Reform
Análisis Stratfor Global Intelligence, 30.09.2015Summary Since the end of the Cold War, the Pacific Rim has seen China rise and Japan stagnate. However, Japan is approaching an epochal shift that will enable it to challenge the current orderAs the strategic situation in the Pacific changes, Japan will be forced to adapt. Tokyo will need to pull the...
What Happened to Brazil?
Columna Foreign Policy Observer, 23.09.2015 John Feffer, autor y director de Foreign Policy ObserverLatin America's largest country once looked ascendant. Now it's been laid low by widespread violence, structural racism, endemic corruption, and external economic shocks.In the 2014 World Cup, Germany not only ousted Brazil from the semi-finals. It gave the legendary team a drubbing, 7 goals...
Forecasting Japan (I): A Slow-Burning Crisis
Análisis Stratfor Global Intelligence, 28.09,2015Summary Since the end of the Cold War, the Pacific Rim has seen China rise and Japan stagnate. However, Japan is approaching an epochal shift that will enable it to challenge the current order. This analysis is the first in a four-part a series that forecasts the nature of that shift and the...
Forecasting Japan (II): China Rises
Análisis Stratfor Global Intelligence, 29.09.2015Summary Since the end of the Cold War, the Pacific Rim has seen China rise and Japan stagnate. However, Japan is approaching an epochal shift that will enable it to challenge the current order. This analysis is the second in a four-part a series that forecasts the nature of that shift and the...
The Next Phase of European Power Politics
Análisis Geopolitical Weekly, 29.09.2015 Adriano Bosoni, periodista y MBA en RR.II. argentinoThe recent battle over a plan to relocate asylum seekers across the European Union did little to appease the already deep fault lines among member states. The proposal was eventually approved, but only after a succession of threats, unilateral moves and violations of EU rules. During...
Britain’s Status as a Trading Nation Ties It to Europe
Análisis Geopolitical Weekley, 08.09.2015 Mark Fleming-Williams, analista financiero y MBA de la U. de LeedsAt some point in the next two years, British voters will decide whether to remain a part of the European Union. This will be the first time Britons have been consulted on the subject since 1975, when 67 percent voted to stay in....
The Crisis of our Crises
Opinión Project-Syndicate, 07.09.2015 Jeremy Adelman, director del Global History Lab en la U. de PrincetonAt first glance, today’s major international crises seem to have little in common. Some, such as Greece’s debt drama, are economic disasters; others, like Syria’s implosion, are characterized by brutality and political chaos; and still others, most notably Ukraine’s predicament, fall somewhere in...