Artículo European Energy Review, 24.06.2015 Irina MironovaRussia is experiencing series of problems in its relations with the West; political contradictions, economic troubles exacerbated by the sanctions; diminishing demand for Russia’s energy recourse supplies in traditional markets are among reasons which justified Russia’s ‘pivot to Asia’. In this context, we are often discussing the role of growing economies...
Carta de Europa: Desde la Ucrania Post-Maidán
Artículo Política Exterior, N*165 (mayo-junio 2015) Francisco de Borja Las HerasLa guerra de las reformas es a menudo el conflicto olvidado en Ucrania. El reto es transformarse sin descomponerse en pleno conflicto bélico con Rusia y los grupos armados en el Este. Para Ucrania y su gobierno hoy “es casi más fácil tratar la guerra que las reformas”,...
Imperial Ambitions: Russia’s Military Buildup
Ensayo World Affairs, junio 2015 Stephen Blank, miembro de American Foreign Policy CouncilIn September 2014, Russian President Vladimir Putin boasted that he could, at will, occupy any Eastern European capital in two days. This apparently spontaneous utterance reveals, probably more than Russia’s new official defense doctrine, Moscow’s true assessment of NATO’s capabilities, cohesion, and will to resist....
The Russian Military
Artículo CFR Backgrounder, 20.03.2015 Jonathan Masters, editor adjuntoIntroduction The Russian military suffered years of neglect after the Soviet collapse and no longer casts the shadow of a global superpower. However, the Russian armed forces are in the midst of a historic overhaul with significant consequences for Eurasian politics and security. Russian officials say the reforms are necessary to...
The New Containment: Undermining Democracy
Ensayo World Affairs, mayo/junio 2015 Christopher Walker, director de estudios (Freedom House)Nearly seven decades ago, George F. Kennan authored a seminal article that argued for a policy of containment to combat the spread of Soviet influence. Kennan’s essay came at a time when the Soviet Union, a frenemy to the West during World War II, was becoming...
Accounting for Inertia in Geopolitical Forecasting
Análisis Geopolitical Weekly, 02.06.2015 Rodger Baker, vicepresidente Análisis Asia PacíficoGeopolitics, at least in the sense that we practice, is neither deterministic in its approach to understanding nations and their interactions nor simply synonymous with current events or international relations. At its most basic, geopolitics as a discipline seeks to explain the intersection between place and people, or...
Lethal Autonomous Weapons Systems: Future Challenges
Artículo Center for Security Studies (CSS): CSS Analyses on Security Policy - No 164, Noviembre 2014 Matthias Bieri y Marcel DickowThe challenge that armed drones pose for international law and arms control has only prevailed for a few years. However, experts are al- ready dealing with questions that will arise in the course of technical advances –...
World War II and the Origins of American Unease
Análisis Geopolitical Weekly, 12.05.2015 George Friedman, fundador y presidente de Stratfor Global IntelligenceWe are at the 70th anniversary of the end of World War II in Europe. That victory did not usher in an era of universal peace. Rather, it introduced a new constellation of powers and a complex balance among them. Europe's great powers and empires...
“Algo huele mal en Dinamarca”
Editorial OpinionGlobal, 11.05.2015No hemos reparado suficientemente en Chile unas recientes declaraciones del Embajador de la Federación Rusa en Dinamarca, Mikhail Vanin, advirtiendo que si ese país resolvía ser parte del Sistema de Defensa Antimisiles (SDA), con la participación de buques de guerra daneses (de última generación), se constituiría en un "blanco legítimo" para las fuerzas nucleares...
Vladimir Putin, 15 años entre Breznev y Stalin
Reportaje El Mundo, 07.05.2015 Xavier Colás, corresponsal extranjero en MoscúHace 15 años era lunes y en Moscú empezaba una semana y una era. Sonaron 30 salvas de cañón desde las murallas del Kremlin. Dentro, en el Salón de San Andrés, donde estuvo el trono de los zares, se 'coronaba' a Vladimir Putin, presidente interino desde aquel mes...