Análisis en Profundidad
Análisis Stratfor Global Intelligence, 28.02.2016 Thomas Vien and Evan Rees[caption id="attachment_22427" align="alignnone" width="921"]
Nationalist officials scuffle with a black market cigarette vendor — the event that sparked nationwide protests Feb. 28,... Artículo CFR Backgrounder, 08.02.2016 Eleanor Albert y Beina Xu[caption id="attachment_22009" align="alignnone" width="921"]
Chinese Communist Party official Liu Yunshan with North Korean leader Kim Jong-un in Pyongyang. Photo: Kyodo/Reuters[/caption]
Análisis Stratfor Global Intelligence, 02.12.2015Summary China's Communist Party is locked in a struggle for political legitimacy. For most of the past three decades, economic growth has buoyed the party and underwritten its promises of full employment and ever-improving material conditions for the majority of Chinese. But that growth is slowing. As the country's export- and investment-led growth model...
Análisis Stratfor Global Intelligence, 08.01.2016Summary Understanding employment is fundamental to understanding how contemporary China works. The need to maintain near-universal employment — or at least the appearance of it — forms the bedrock of Chinese political economy. It structures the financial system, long-term industrial policy, the incentive structure for bureaucrats and everything in between. Strikingly, post-Mao Chinese policy...
Análisis Stratfor Global Intelligence, 03.02.2016Summary These are grim times for the Chinese economy. In the two years since property markets peaked and subsequently began to slow in most cities across China, it has become abundantly clear that the approach to economic management that sustained double-digit annual growth for two decades has exhausted itself. The unprecedented stock market volatility of...
Opinión El Confidencial, 26.01.2016 Marcos Díaz, experto en diplomacia, relaciones internacionales y política exterior
Columna El Líbero, 23.01.2016 Juan Salazar Sparks, cientista político, embajador (r) y director ejecutivo de CEPERISon muchos los conflictos internacionales que se arrastran y otros que se manifestarán en el curso del 2016, poniendo en riesgo la paz y seguridad internacionales. Tal vez el más complejo concierne a una aparente guerra civil islámica (suníes vs. chiíes), con...
Reportaje La Tercera, 16.01.2016 Constanza MoralesEn medio de las dudas sobre el real estado de la economía china, la consultora McKinsey publicó recientemente un artículo con los cinco mitos sobre el gigante asiático. 1. China ha estado aparentando: Un principio clave de la tesis de colapso es que el país no ha establecido las bases para una economía...
Análisis Stratfor Global Intelligence, 01.01.2016 Analista principal: Eugene ChausovskySummary Much like the Caucasus, Central Asia serves as a relatively new but no less important staging ground for the ongoing competition between Russia and the West. Since the fall of the Soviet Union, the region has been somewhat of a melange of indecision and opportunism: Kazakhstan has stayed close...
Artículo Foreign Affairs, Vol.95 (1) enero/febrero 201 Fu Ying, presidente de la Comisión de RREE del Congreso Popular del PCCHAt a time when Russian relations with the United States and western European countries are growing cold, the relatively warm ties between China and Russia have attracted renewed interest. Scholars and journalists in the West find themselves debating...